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, notably in the case of the world equity risk premium. Finally, long-run risks are detected in all asset portfolios including …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012486245
The empirical literature on contagion has mainly measured the propagation of shocks across countries using daily stock markets, interest rates, and exchange rates. Several methodologies have been used for this purpose, however, the properties of the data introduces important limitations on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014036215
We identify a global risk factor in the cross-section of implied volatility returns in currency markets. A zero-cost strategy that buys forward volatility agreements with downward sloping implied volatility curves and sells those with upward slopes - volatility carry strategy - generates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902489
Buying profitable, undervalued stocks and shorting unprofitable, overvalued stocks yields significant return differentials in North America, Europe, Japan, and Asia. Using data from 1991-2016, we test Greenblatt's (2006) “Magic Formula” (MF) and find that a modified MF which uses gross...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958130
This paper shows that market breadth, i.e. the difference between the average number of rising stocks and the average number of falling stocks within a portfolio, is a robust predictor of future stock returns on market and industry portfolios for 64 countries for the period between 1973 and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863920
are fully or only partially liberalized. The same factors also determine whether a market's correlation with world markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142324
The recent Euro area crisis, which has originally been driven mainly by macroeconomic factors, has had a strong impact also on financial markets leading internationally to what is referred as contagion, that is co-movements among asset prices which have been excessive respect to fundamentals....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096061
This study attempts to illustrate the contributing factors for different patterns of crashes. In addition to the fundamental macro-economic factors, this paper argues that the existence of herding behavior as well as the level of investor attention are also important factors affecting the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953849
This paper investigates the impact of the news announcement of the Lehman Brothers' (LBs) bankruptcy on the performance of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) sectors and financial industries. Based on descriptive index level results, Bartram and Bodnar (2009) conclude that the reaction of all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013014
We estimate a continuous-time model with dynamic crash probability using the S&P500 index options and high-frequency information. We find that market illiquidity is an important factor in explaining the time-varying stock market crash risk embedded in index options. While market illiquidity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011547569