We compare two different approaches to assess country default risk by evaluating their forecast accuracy. In particular we analyze whether market based or rating based risk assessment is superior. To evaluate the forecast accuracy we analyze the differences between several default risk measures...

This study examines the determinants of farm loan delinquencies, and in particular, the influence of multiple loans and multiple lenders on delinquency. The number of lenders used by a borrower, the number of loans outstanding, and the interaction of the two factors are all positively related to...

Default correlation is a critical concept in risk management for fixed income investment, bank management, and insurance industry, working capital management, among many. We extend the Leland-Toft term structure model into a two-firm environment and predict the default correlation between two...

This paper documents the existence of primary dealers’ losses in Treasury bond markets and investigates how these losses a¤ect dealers’ market value. Using a novel data set that tracks more than 2,350 primary-to-secondary transactions, we find that bond losses for primary dealers are...

Researchers' attempts to identify the valuation of collateral has been hampered by data limitations. We overcome this challenge by comparing spreads on loans originated by the same bank, to the same firm, at the same origination date, but with different types of collateral. We find that securing...

This paper can be divided in two sections. First, based on the price model in “Noise trader risk in financial market” by J. Bradford Delong et al. (1987), we analyze the implications to Value at Risk and probability of default in option-theoretic model. We find that bubbles are ill-impounded...

Target volatility options (TVO) are a new class of derivatives whose payoff depends on some measure of volatility. These options allow investors to take a joint exposure to the evolution of the underlying asset, as well as to its realized volatility. For instance, a target volatility call can be...

There is empirical evidence and objective argument, which justifies the core functioning of money in economic growth and its correlation to the development of a Nation, which equally establishes the reason for the relevant role of Banks in every economy. The underpinning of this research is to...