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We investigate the long-run relationship between the real exchange rate, traded and non-traded productivity levels, and government spending for 14 OECD countries, using recently developed panel cointegration tests. The results indicate that under certain assumptions it is easier to detect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014063346
The paper analyzes the sources of exchange rate movements in emerging economies in the context of monetary tapering by the Federal Reserve. A structural vector autoregression framework with a long-run restriction is used to decompose the movements of nominal ex-change rates into two components:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374055
I analyze the role of real and monetary shocks on the exchange rate behavior using a structural vector autoregressive model of the US vis-à-vis the rest of the world. The shocks are identified using sign restrictions on the responses of the variables to orthogonal disturbances. These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013151170
This paper examines the effect of overall and sector-specific productivity shocks on the real exchange rate in small open economies. A dynamic stochastic small open economy model shows that productivity shocks impact the real exchange rate mostly through changes in the relative price of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005242
aim of uncovering a single structural parameter, but theory suggests it could differ depending on the shock that drives … exports relative to the response of the exchange rate, conditional on each shock. Our findings suggest that this relationship … differs greatly from one shock to another, where domestic shocks generate a much weaker relationship than global shocks. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013172465
years after a nominal shock hits the economy. The long-run effect of a monthly one standard deviation nominal shock on … indicates that the nominal shock plays a significant role in explaining the depreciation in nominal MNT exchange rate over the … last three decades. Our recommendation is to stop “cash handling” policy, minimize monetary shock, and coordinate fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795308
We document the consequences of real exchange rate movements for the employment, hours, and hourly earnings of workers in manufacturing industries across individual states. Exchange rates have statistically significant wage and employment implications in these local labor markets. The importance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014193865
This paper attempts to identify the sources of U.K. exchange rate and relative consumer price fluctuations between 1973 and 1994. We follow Clarida and Gali (1994) in using the Blanchard and Quah (1989) structural VAR (SVAR) method to identify the effects of three structural shocks within a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014209306
This paper studies subsampling hypothesis tests for panel data that may be nonstationary, cross-sectionally correlated, and cross-sectionally cointegrated. The subsampling approach provides approximations to the finite sample distributions of the tests without estimating nuisance parameters. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014027534
We reappraise the relationship between productivity and equilibrium real exchange rates using a panel estimation framework that incorporates a large number of countries and importantly, a dataset that allows explicit consideration of the role of non-traded, as well as traded, sector productivity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012764033