Showing 1 - 10 of 20,651
We extend the class of GARCH models to comprise asymmetric and nonlinear effects on volatility. In particular, we do … not only explain future volatility of a time series on its own past, but allow for external influences and spillovers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012735981
This paper presents a variety of tests of volatility spillover that are robust to heavy tails generated by large errors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091629
The transmission mechanisms of volatility between markets can be characterized within a new Markov Switching bivariate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013160209
allows for volatility feedback of either sign, i.e., positive or negative. In the previous literature, negative volatility … GARCH processes ; volatility feedback …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003764299
This paper employs the unrestricted extended constant conditional correlation GARCH specification proposed in Conrad and Karanasos (2008) to examine the intertemporal relationship between the uncertainties of inflation and output growth in the US. We find that inflation uncertainty effects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723007
Volatility is a key measure of risk in financial analysis. The high volatility of one financial asset today could … affect the volatility of another asset tomorrow. These lagged effects among volatilities - which we call volatility … freedom. Moreover, we study volatility spillovers among a large number of assets. To this end, we use penalized estimation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943774
We introduce a conditional volatility model that combines persistent volatility dynamics with spillovers from a wide … volatility dynamics. We show that despite the many parameters resulting from this wide cross-section, this spillover … autoregressive (SPAR) realized variance model forecasts accurately and can be used in estimating large volatility spillover networks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051150
We propose global and disaggregated spillover indices that allow us to assess variance and covariance spillovers, locally in time and conditionally on time-t information. Key to our approach is the vector moving average representation of the half-vectorized 'squared' multivariate GARCH process...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988156
updating the concept of ‘volatility surprise' to capture cross-market relationships. Current methods for measuring spillovers … do not focus on volatility interactions, and neglect cross-effects between the conditional variances. This paper aims to … commodities from 1983 to 2013. The results provide strong evidence of spillover effects coming from the ‘volatility surprise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033099
framework is a bivariate volatility model, where volatility spillovers of either positive or negative sign are allowed for. Our … countries. Regarding the volatility spillovers, such spillovers from bond returns to those of stocks are stronger than the other … results show that by considering time-varying return and volatility spillovers when calculating the risk-minimising portfolio …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011663407