Showing 1 - 10 of 26,223
individual-goods price adjustments, have stock returns that are always positively correlated with inflation. The cross … inflation is positive, agents are willing to pay a premium to hold assets whose returns covary negatively with inflation. In … contrast, we empirically find that the dispersion in the correlation between stock returns and inflation is about 100 times …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073270
Inflation risk is greatest in times of national or global stress; inflation risk is a form of a “tail risk.” A … traditional portfolio of stocks and bonds is exposed to inflation risk. The specific nature of an investor's liabilities and … spending determines inflation sensitivity beyond that of the asset portfolio. Commodities and TIPS are the most effective short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103540
, 𝑢𝑡 ∗ , in the aftermath of the pandemic and characterize its implications for inflation dynamics. While the bulk of the … inflation surge is attributed to temporary supply factors, we also find an important role for current and expected negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501075
The authors apply a Hidden Markov Model to identify regimes of shifting inflation and then employ an attribution … technique based on the Mahalanobis distance to identify the economic variables that determine the trajectory of inflation. Their … analysis enables policymakers to focus on the most effective tools to manage inflation, and it offers guidance to investors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014030604
The ongoing post-pandemic inflation burst has put the monetary policy framework, its governance alternatives, and the … politicized yet independent model of central banking over the past two decades on the inflation burst. The study identifies four … demanding advanced stages of the fight against inflation. It is anticipated that this episode will contribute to complete the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349722
increase in inflation in the US and elsewhere. Much has been made of this outcomes, and the economic distress associated with … it, in popular discussion of the economy. This paper provides a Kaleckian conflicting-claims analysis of inflation during …-setting behaviour as sources of inflationary pressure. A key conclusion that arises from the co-determination of inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014243552
In a new Keynesian model with random search in the labor market, endogenous selection among heterogeneous workers amplifies fluctuations in unemployment and results in excess unemployment volatility relative to the efficient allocation. Recessions disproportionately affect lowproductivity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012318150
Standard New Keynesian (NK) models feature an optimal inflation target well below two percent, limited welfare losses …-run Phillips curve between inflation and unemployment and a trade-off between price distortions and output hysteresis that change … the welfare-maximizing inflation level. For a plausible set of parameters, the optimal inflation target is in excess of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306762
type of shock. Expansionary securitization shocks lead to a permanent rise in real GDP and a fall in inflation. Bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257361
type of shock. Expansionary securitization shocks lead to a permanent rise in real GDP and a fall in inflation. Bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055428