Models of economic geography posit that the density of economic activity has two effects that oppose each other in equilibrium: decreasing returns to productive activities due to congestion effects and increasing returns that result from information spillovers and local demand externalities. In...

A recent research publication develops a new business cycle forecasting technique using a metric called “Mahalanobis distance.” This measure is intuitive, is based on a straightforward set of computations, is able to identify post-war US recessions with few false positives, and, as claimed...

Recessions are a regularity of the economic landscape. In this research paper we provide a guide for CIOs to help them assess and interpret recession probability models, and explore several related issues that they should consider

In recent years many US corporate pension plans have closed and entered their “end-state.” As end-state plans have become more prevalent, their special portfolio management challenges, including asset allocation, have gained attention.Pure immunization with public fixed income assets...

Institutional investors have increased their allocation to private assets to capture a potential return premium over public assets and diversification benefits. However, an allocation to private assets, which typically are less liquid than public assets, raises questions: “How does an...