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We present a new framework for estimating the long-run economic impacts of natural disasters. Our approach combines a disaster impact model with a general equilibrium model of the economy. We apply the methodology to study the effects of tropical cyclones in the United States, the Caribbean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014251945
nature of climate risk (i.e. deep uncertainty, non-linearity and endogeneity), and of financial risks (interconnectedness and …, sovereign and corporate bonds), climate scenarios conditioned risk metrics (such as the Climate Spread and the Climate Value-at-Risk …). These allow us to introduce forward-looking climate risk scenarios in the valuation of counterparty risk, in the probability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860414
states, insurers increase rates in low friction states. Over time, rates get disjoint from underlying risk, and grow faster … in states with low pricing frictions. Our findings have consequences for how climate risk is shared in the economy and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244327
We study the effects of uncertainty on corporate leverage adjustments with respect to investment spikes and find that overlevered and underlevered firms behave very differently in response to the combination of uncertainty and investment spikes. Overlevered firms facing high uncertainty converge...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855716
greater with increases in a firm’s vulnerability to climate change news risk. The industry’s resistance to a timely low … news risk increase after 2013, strengthening firms’ inclination to lobby just when this activity becomes less valued by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235505
-form expressions of welfare loss from shocks and epistemological uncertainty identify the interaction of (intertemporal) risk attitude …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305430
Recent theoretical work in the economics of climate change has suggested that climate policy is highly sensitive to "fat-tailed" risks of catastrophic outcomes (Weitzman, 2009b). Such risks are suggested to be an inevitable consequence of scientific uncertainty about the effects of increased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199723
composition of the optimal mix as both persuade the risk-averse social planner to invest more in mitigation. Overall, we identify …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451547
difficulties identified with IAMs, the choice of the risk aversion parameter and the underestimation of damages, are also directly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510301
There is a lot we know about climate change, but there is also a lot we don't know. Even if we knew how much CO2 will be emitted over the coming decades, we wouldn't know how much temperatures will rise as a result. And even if we could predict the extent of warming that will occur, we can say...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225170