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Observational learning theories often assume that people's actions can be observed. However, in many naturally … learning under optional disclosure conditions. We further examine empirically how individuals decide whether to reveal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941804
learning schemes can be compared in terms of the consumption behaviour that they yield. We show that neither purely adaptive … learning, nor social learning based on imitation can ensure satisfactory consumption behaviours. By contrast, if the agents can … terms of its regularity, and its ability to improve performance (which is as a clear manifestation of learning). Our results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066457
People often form mental models based on incomplete information, revising them as new relevant data becomes available. In this paper, we experimentally investigate how individuals update their models when data on predictive variables are gradually revealed. We find that people's models tend to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015203464
. Bayesian learning implies that beliefs about the likelihood of rare disasters drop to a much more pessimistic level once a … between rational and adaptive Bayesian learning. Rational learners account for the possibility of future changes in beliefs in …-valued and price-dividend ratios vary less under adaptive versus rational learning for identical priors. Keywords: beliefs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010387528
Learning models extend the traditional discrete choice framework by postulating that consumers have incomplete … literature on learning models that has developed over the past 20 years, using the model of Erdem and Keane (1996) as a unifying … framework. We described how subsequent work has extended their modeling framework, and applied learning models to a wide range …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092559
I develop an adaptive learning model to study the welfare effects of Social Security policy uncertainty in an aging … could occur) with limited knowledge about the structure of the economy. The adaptive learning amplifies cyclical dynamics …) ranges between -0.29% and 0.21% of lifetime consumption in the adaptive learning model compared to -0.012% to -0.018% in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850416
). Learning is costly for the Receiver who can choose to process strictly less information than what the sender provides. In a … than the case without learning costs; meanwhile, the Receiver processes less information than what he would under full … processed in equilibrium varies with learning costs in a non-monotone fashion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852188
In this paper we present experimental evidence suggesting that observational learning (i.e. learning by not doing but … by observing) may outperform learning by doing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014123288
We report on an experiment testing the empirical relevance of least squares (LS) learning, a common way of modelling … in the independent variable of the model. We consider several alternatives to least squares learning and find evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014078469
This paper introduces a model of boundedly rational observational learning, which is rationally founded and applicable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027986