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Observational learning theories often assume that people's actions can be observed. However, in many naturally … learning under optional disclosure conditions. We further examine empirically how individuals decide whether to reveal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941804
I develop an adaptive learning model to study the welfare effects of Social Security policy uncertainty in an aging … could occur) with limited knowledge about the structure of the economy. The adaptive learning amplifies cyclical dynamics …) ranges between -0.29% and 0.21% of lifetime consumption in the adaptive learning model compared to -0.012% to -0.018% in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850416
). Learning is costly for the Receiver who can choose to process strictly less information than what the sender provides. In a … than the case without learning costs; meanwhile, the Receiver processes less information than what he would under full … processed in equilibrium varies with learning costs in a non-monotone fashion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852188
learning schemes can be compared in terms of the consumption behaviour that they yield. We show that neither purely adaptive … learning, nor social learning based on imitation can ensure satisfactory consumption behaviours. By contrast, if the agents can … terms of its regularity, and its ability to improve performance (which is as a clear manifestation of learning). Our results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066457
People often form mental models based on incomplete information, revising them as new relevant data becomes available. In this paper, we experimentally investigate how individuals update their models when data on predictive variables are gradually revealed. We find that people's models tend to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015203464
Learning models extend the traditional discrete choice framework by postulating that consumers have incomplete … literature on learning models that has developed over the past 20 years, using the model of Erdem and Keane (1996) as a unifying … framework. We described how subsequent work has extended their modeling framework, and applied learning models to a wide range …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092559
. Bayesian learning implies that beliefs about the likelihood of rare disasters drop to a much more pessimistic level once a … between rational and adaptive Bayesian learning. Rational learners account for the possibility of future changes in beliefs in …-valued and price-dividend ratios vary less under adaptive versus rational learning for identical priors. Keywords: beliefs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010387528
Previous research has shown that feedback about past performance has ambiguous effects on subsequent performance. We argue that feedback affects beliefs in different dimensions – namely beliefs about the level of human capital and beliefs about the ability to learn – and this may explain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926724
This paper introduces a model of boundedly rational observational learning, which is rationally founded and applicable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027986
and they cannot observe other agents' actions or payoffs. Theory shows that even when players have no such information …, simple payoff-based learning rules eventually lead to equilibrium. Such rules have previously been documented for some forms … laboratory setting and finds strong confirmation for key features of payoff-based learning that distinguish it from classical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014874