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the time-varying correlation between stock and bond returns. The results indicate that stock and bond prices move in the … same direction during periods of high inflation expectations, while epochs of negative stock-bond return correlation seem …, it is found that the stock-bond return correlation is virtually unaffected by economic growth expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131459
the time-varying correlation of US stock and bond returns. Key ingredients are time-varying first and second moments of … macroeconomic volatility. This generates a positive correlation between dividend yields and nominal yields and between stock and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014209829
) stock-bond correlation forecasts falling 10-year interest rates over the coming weeks, and it also forecasts a falling 1 …-year interest rates over the next year. The reverse is true when the stock-bond correlation is higher (more positive … markets and/or policymakers' under-reaction to the changing economic conditions implied by the stock-bond correlation; and (2 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970361
We apply a multivariate asymmetric generalized dynamic conditional correlation GARCH model to daily index returns of S … their conditional correlation, suggesting reduced hedging potential of REITs against the stock market downturn during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139729
We apply a multivariate asymmetric generalized dynamic conditional correlation GARCH model to daily index returns of S … their conditional correlation, suggesting reduced hedging potential of REITs against the stock market downturn during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101365
standard dynamic conditional correlation approach, especially during the recent global financial crisis when financial market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855725
We propose a novel regime-switching model to study correlation asymmetries in international equity markets. We … countries. We find that correlations due to jumps, not diffusion, increase markedly in bad markets leading to correlation breaks … during crises. Our model provides a better description of correlation asymmetries than GARCH, copula and stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972456
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012793476
We present evidence of significant bias in event studies that investigate the effect of U.S. monetary policy on U.S. stock prices. To overcome this bias, we propose a new identification method based on the "Impossible Trinity" theory which argues that an economy with a fixed exchange rate and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075805
This paper investigates the dynamic linkages in terms of the first and second moments between stock and bond returns, within a wide range of advanced economies, over the different phases of the recent financial crisis. The adopted empirical framework is a bivariate volatility model, where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953399