This paper develops a securities market model in which participants' beliefs diverge and prices are monotonic in beliefs. Relative to rational expectations (i.e., correct and unanimous beliefs), overconfidence among uninformed traders about the precision of experts' information leads to...

Regardless of the distributions of spot and futures returns, the hedge ratio determined by minimizing the portfolio's Aumann and Serrano (2008) index of riskiness is always smaller than the hedge ratio determined by minimizing the portfolio's variance. It is also demonstrated that the Foster and...

This paper analyzes the optimal production and hedging decisions of a competitive firm holding optimism and pessimism under price ambiguity. We show that the separation theorem remains intact as the firm's optimal output level depends neither on the output price distribution nor on the firm's...

We estimate the liquidity connectedness in the spot foreign exchange (FX) market based on an empirical network model. We find that the liquidity connectedness reflects the dynamic market uncertainties around the world. Supply- and demand-side factors are important drivers of liquidity...

We find that passive intensity (PI), measured by the passive-linked share of total stock market trading volume, is strongly related to the overall pattern of stock price movements. A one-standard deviation increase in PI is associated with 8 percent higher price synchronicity. We further...

This paper analyzes the production and hedging decisions of a competitive firm under price uncertainty and time-inconsistent preferences. We show that the firm would over-hedge and the output choice would be affected by the firm's preferences and the price distribution, thereby identifying a...

This paper studies the interplay between firm investment and cash flow hedging decisions when the decision-maker has time-inconsistent preferences. We show that cash flow hedging acts as a double-edged sword. In some cases, cash flow hedging enhances firm value because the firm can thus invest...

Motivated by psychological evidence that self-esteem plays an important role in individual decision-making, this paper studies how self-esteem concerns influence a manager's effort choice and hedging behavior and how a board designs the managerial compensation in response. We show that when the...

People often make important decisions based on information elicited from experts with uncertain preferences. We provide a theoretical rationale for the use of information markets in decision making tasks. Specifically, we show that markets for claims on decision-relevant variables can be...