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Forecasting the return distribution using high-frequency volatility measures
Hua, Jian; Manzan, Sebastiano - In: Journal of banking & finance 37 (2013) 11, pp. 4381-4403
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010247031
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Beta dispersion and market timing
Kuntz, Laura-Chloé - 2020
The beta dispersion, which is the spread of betas on a stock market, can be interpreted as a measure of market vulnerability. This study examines the economic idea of the beta dispersion and its application as a market return predictor. Based on the empirical beta dispersion observed in the US...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012264452
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The time-varying risk of Italian GDP
Busetti, Fabio; Caivano, Michele; Delle Monache, Davide; … - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300712
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Real-time macroeconomic forecasting with a heteroscedastic inversion copula
Loiza-Maya, Ruben; Smith, Michael S. - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 38 (2020) 2, pp. 470-486
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012262488
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Conditional term structure of inflation forecast uncertainty : the copula approach
Charemza, Wojciech; Díaz, Carlos; Makarova, Svetlana D. - In: Romanian journal of economic forecasting 22 (2019) 1, pp. 5-18
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012021948
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Forecasting tail risk measures for financial time series : an extreme value approach with covariates
James, Robert; Leung, Henry; Leung, Jessica Wai Yin; … - In: Journal of empirical finance 71 (2023), pp. 29-50
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014292519
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Forecasting Tail Risk Measures for Financial Time Series : An Extreme Value Approach With Covariates
James, Robert; Leung, Henry; Leung, Jessica Wai Yin; … - 2021
The paper develops a tail risk forecasting model that incorporates the wealth of economic and financial information … available to risk managers. The approach can be viewed as a regularized extension of the two-stage GARCH-EVT model of McNeil and … extreme value distribution of risk. We use a rich data set from the US equity market to explore when this additional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214142
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Distributional time series for forecasting and risk assessment
Dobronets, Boris S.; Popova, Olga A.; Merko, Alexei M. - In: International journal of risk assessment and management … 24 (2021) 2/4, pp. 140-155
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014227063
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The information content of sentiment indices in forecasting Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall : a Complete Realized Exponential GARCH-X approach
Naimoli, Antonio - In: International economics : a journal published by CEPII … 176 (2023), pp. 1-12
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468603
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Analysis and forecasting of risk in count processes
Homburg, Annika; Frahm, Gabriel; Alwan, Layth C.; Göb, … - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 14 (2021) 4, pp. 1-25
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012522289