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Drawdown risk is a major concern in financial markets. We develop a novel algorithm to solve the first passage problem of the drawdown process of general one-dimensional time-homogeneous Markov processes. We compute its Laplace transform based on continuous time Markov chain (CTMC) approximation...
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We propose an efficient computational method based on continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) approximation to compute the distributions of the speed and duration of drawdown for general one-dimensional (1D) time-homogeneous Markov processes. We derive linear systems for the Laplace transforms of...
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Distance to default (DTD) is a strong predictor of default risk derived from structural models. This paper specifies a stressed version of DTD ("stressed DTD'') to measure time-varying corporate default risk in the event that a systematic stress scenario occurs. Compared with the ordinary DTD,...
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To capture mean reversion and sharp seasonal spikes observed in electricity prices, this paper develops a new stochastic model for electricity spot prices by time changing the Jump Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (JCIR) process with a random clock that is a composite of a Gamma subordinator and a...
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