climate change. The risk of uncertain and potentially irreversible catastrophes is an important issue related to the latter … benchmark integrated assessment model. This study moves beyond recent catastrophe or tipping point studies with arbitrary risk … introduced here informs risk management strategies that balance uncertain future climate change impacts with the costs of …

derive a general analytic formula for the "risk premium" governing the resulting climate policy. The formula generalizes … making under uncertainty. It clarifies the distinct roles of risk aversion, prudence, characteristics of the damage … formulation, and future policy response. We show that an optimal response to uncertainty substantially reduces the risk premium. …