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Current account sustainability in the US : what do we really know about its?

Christopulos, Dēmētrēs K. (contributor); … - 2004 - [Elektronische Ressource]

We revisit the debate on the sustainability of the current account dynamics in the US. Using the concept of sustainability as the ability to meet the long run intertemporal budget constraint, we test for unit roots in the US current account for the 1960-2004 period. We argue that there are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002364771

Sustainability of current account deficit in Turkey

Karahan, Özcan - In: International journal of business and economic sciences … 13 (2020) 2, pp. 62-69

Purpose: This study aims to examine the sustainability of the current account deficit in Turkey for the quarterly data between 2003 and 2018. Besides, some policy implications are made to ensure the sustainability of the current account deficit in Turkey’s economy. Design/methodology/approach:...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293106

Purchasing Power Parity in High Inflation Countries : A Cointegration Analysis of Integrated Variables with Trend Breaks

Zhou, Su - 1998

This paper examines the long-run validity of purchasing power parity (PPP) for four high-inflation countries. The method of Zivot and Andrews (1992) is employed to detect the time-series behavior of the exchange rates and consumer price indices of these countries. We find that these variables...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014071881

Current account sustainability in the US: What do we really know about its?

Christopoulos, Dimitris K.; León-Ledesma, Miguel A. - 2004

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290645

Are the current accounts of Asian-5 economies mean-reverting? : new evidence from Fourier panel stationarity tests

Husein, Jamal; Kara, S. Murat; Pier, Chuck - In: Cogent economics & finance 11 (2023) 2, pp. 1-11

This study offers a novel examination of the mean-reversion properties of the current account balances, expressed as a percentage of GDP, for the Asian-5 economies: Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, and Thailand. While prior studies mainly employed traditional unit-root tests, our...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501140

Forecasting Macedonian business cycle turning points using Qual VAR model

Petrovska, Magdalena; Krstevska, Aneta; Naumovski, Nikola - Narodna Banka na Republika Makedonija - 2016

This paper aims to assess the usefulness of leading indicators in business cycle research and forecast. Initially we … indicators performs in forecasting turning points of the Macedonian business cycle by employing the Qual VAR approach of Dueker … (2005). In continuation, we evaluate the quality of the selected indicators in pseudo-out-of-sample context. The results …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011623919

A Discrete Time Series Model for High Frequency Financial Data

Mitchell, Heather Eunice - 2012

In this paper a flexible model for correlation in high frequency data is proposed, which maintains the data's discrete nature and captures features such as asymmetry and excess zeros. The model uses an a theoretical approach based on that of an ARIMA model. This model works with price changes...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104300

The information content of implied volatilities and model-free volatility expectations : evidence from options written on individual stocks

Taylor, Stephen; Yadav, Pradeep; Zhang, Yuanyuan - 2009

The volatility information content of stock options for individual firms is measured using option prices for 149 U.S. firms and the S&P 100 index. ARCH and regression models are used to compare volatility forecasts defined by historical stock returns, at-the-money implied volatilities and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003857823

Exchange Rate Volatility and Export Growth in India : An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach

Palamalai, Srinivasan - 2013

This paper empirically investigates the impact of exchange rate volatility on the real exports in India using the ARDL bounds testing procedure proposed by Pesaran et al. (2001). Using annual time series data, the empirical analyses has been carried out for the period 1970 to 2011. The study...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082330

Current account deficit in Turkey : cyclical or structural?

Kara, Hakan; Sarıkaya, Çağrı - 2014

Turkey's high current account deficit has been at the core of macroeconomic policy discussions in recent years. Quantifying the role of cyclical factors in driving the current account fluctuations is essential for designing an appropriate policy response and evaluating the impact of policy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010432246

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