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This paper investigates the degree of persistence of market fear. Specifically, two different long-memory approaches (R/S analysis with the Hurst exponent method and fractional integration) are used to analyse persistence of the VIX index over the sample period 2004-2016, as well as some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664417
It is well known that standard tests for a mean shift are invalid in long-range dependent time series. Therefore, several long memory robust extensions of standard testing principles for a change-in-mean have been proposed in the literature. These can be divided into two groups: those that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011667075
This study examines the relationship between healthcare expenditure and disposable income in the 50 US states over the period 1966-2009 using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The degree of integration and nonlinearity of both series are found to vary considerably across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011280006
A key application of long memory time series models concerns inflation. Long memory implies that shocks have a long-lasting effect. It may however be that empirical evidence for long memory is caused by neglecting one or more level shifts. Since such level shifts are not unlikely for inflation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011283465
This study examines the relationship between healthcare expenditure and disposable income in the 50 US states over the period 1966-2009 using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The degree of integration and non-linearity of both series are found to vary considerably across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011283833
Short memory models contaminated by level shifts have similar long-memory features as fractionally integrated processes. This makes it hard to verify whether the true data generating process is a pure fractionally integrated process when employing standard estimation methods based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011287069
The adjusted measure of realized volatility suggested in [20] is applied to high- frequency orderbook and transaction data of DAX and BUND futures from EU- REX in order to identify the drivers of intraday volatility. Four components are identified to have predictive power: an auto-regressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010442584
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