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Forecasting with money demand functions : the UK case
García-Ferrer, Antonio - In: Journal of forecasting 17 (1998) 2, pp. 125-145
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001244491
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Smooth regimes, macroeconomic variables, and bagging for the short-term interest rate process
Audrino, Francesco; Medeiros, Marcelo C. - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003773443
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Forecasting macroeconomic variables using collapsed dynamic factor analysis
Bräuning, Falk; Koopman, Siem Jan - In: International journal of forecasting 30 (2014) 3, pp. 572-584
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010513606
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Is more still better? : revisiting the sixth district coincident indicator
Silos, Pedro; Vilán, Diego - 2009
version of the D6 Factor that improves upon the original model in several ways. While the original D6 based its estimation on … estimation period by a decade. These changes provide the updated model with substantially more information while reducing the … noise in the estimation. -- coincident index ; dynamic factor model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009419466
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Detecting and predicting economic accelerations, recessions, and normal growth periods in real-time
Proaño Acosta, Christian - 2013
The dichotomous characterization of the business cycle in recessions and expansions has been central in the literature over the last fifty years. However, there are various reasons to question the adequacy of this dichotomous approach for our understanding of business cycle dynamics, as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010240802
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Bond risk premia forecasting : a simple approach for extracting macroeconomic information from a panel of indicators
Audrino, Francesco; Corsi, Fulvio; Filipova, Kameliya - In: Econometric reviews 35 (2016) 1/4, pp. 232-256
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011549916
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Forecasting the equity risk premium : the role of technical indicators
Neely, Christopher J.; Rapach, David E.; Tu, Jun; Zhou, … - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 60 (2014) 7, pp. 1772-1791
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010399441
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Bayesian averaging of classical estimates in forecasting macroeconomic indicators with application of business survey data
Białowolski, Piotr; Kuszewski, Tomasz; Witkowski, Bartosz - In: Empirica : journal of european economics 41 (2014) 1, pp. 53-68
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010437231
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Forecasting the turns of German business cycle : dynamic bi-factor model with Markov switching
Kholodilin, Konstantin A. (contributor) - 2005
In this paper a dynamic bi-factor model with Markov switching is proposed to measure and predict turning points of the German business cycle. It estimates simultaneously the composite leading indicator (CLI) and composite coincident indicator (CCI) together with corresponding probabilities of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002927882
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Some variables are more worthy than others : new diffusion index evidence on the monitoring of key economic indicators
Armah, Nii Ayi; Swanson, Norman R. - In: Applied financial economics 21 (2011) 1/3, pp. 43-60
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009124680