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Dependence modelling and estimation is a key issue in the assessment of portfolio risk. When measuring extreme risk in … terms of the Value-at-Risk, the multivariate normal model with linear correlation as its natural dependence measure is by no … the data. -- Risk management ; extreme risk assessment ; multivariate models ; dependence function …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002638723
This paper exploits a data rich environment to provide direct econometric estimates of time-varying macroeconomic uncertainty, defined as the common volatility in the unforecastable component of a large number of economic indicators. Our estimates display significant independent variations from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075857
In this paper, we introduce a new US uncertainty index which is more sensitive to consumer spending and therefore reflects households’ decisions. We find evidence that macroeconomic uncertainty shocks impose negative, statistically significant, and long-lasting effects on consumption, income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322199
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011656576
This paper exploits a data rich environment to provide direct econometric estimates of time-varying macroeconomic uncertainty, defined as the common volatility in the unforecastable component of a large number of economic indicators. Our estimates display significant independent variations from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459206
We introduce a new US uncertainty index which is more sensitive to consumer spending and therefore reflects households’ decisions. We find evidence that macroeconomic uncertainty shocks impose negative, statistically significant, and long-lasting effects on consumption, income and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239641
Standard realized volatility (RV) measures estimate the latent volatility of an asset price using high frequency data with no reference to how or where the estimate will subsequently be used. This paper presents methods for “tailoring” the estimate of volatility to the application in which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255167