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This paper develops Bayesian econometric methods for posterior inference in non-parametric mixed frequency VARs using additive regression trees. We argue that regression tree models are ideally suited for macroeconomic nowcasting in the face of extreme observations, for instance those produced...
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leverage a novel real-time dataset to conduct an out-of-sample forecasting exercise for U.S. real gross domestic product (GDP …
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time portfolio approach to investigate the long-run anomalies, each of the methods is a subject to criticisms. In this … paper, we show that a recently introduced calendar time methodology, known as Standardized Calendar Time Approach (SCTA …), controls well for heteroscedasticity problem which occurs in calendar time methodology due to varying portfolio compositions …
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