We study the relation between the credit cycle and macro-economic fundamentals in an intensity-based framework. Using … the credit cycle from the micro rating data. We relate this cycle to the business cycle, bank lending conditions, and … financial market variables. In line with earlier studies, these variables appear to explain part of the credit cycle. As our …

regression using splines, are introduced as needed. The classical methods of finance such as portfolio theory, CAPM, and the …:Introduction * Probability and Statistical Models * Returns * Time Series Models * Portfolio Theory * Regression * The Capital Asset Pricing …