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This paper proposes strategies to detect time reversibility in stationary stochastic processes by using the properties of mixed causal and noncausal models. It shows that they can also be used for non-stationary processes when the trend component is computed with the Hodrick-Prescott filter...
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This paper presents the first empirical test of coherence (i.e., consistency of policies within a framework), efficiency (i.e., ability of policies to meet their objectives), and independence (i.e., logical priority of objectives over policies) of the overall EU environmental policy system. To...
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In 1982, the Journal of Forecasting published the results of a forecasting competition organized by Spyros Makridakis …
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The M3-Competition continues to improve the design of forecasting competitions: It examines more series than any … previous competition, improves error analyses and includes commercial forecasting programs as competitors. To judge where to go …
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