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The impact of uncertainty on professional exchange rate forecasts

Beckmann, Joscha; Czudaj, Robert - 2016

This paper analyzes the role of uncertainty on both exchange rate expectations and forecast errors of professionals for … Bayesian VAR approach, we observe that effects on forecast errors of professionals turn out to be more significant compared to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011532311

Insolvency forecasting through trend analysis with full ignorance of probabilities

Poláček, Tomáš; Kruntorádová, Markéta - In: Acta oeconomica Pragensia : vědecký časopis Vysoke … 27 (2019) 3/4, pp. 17-30

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012372881

Short-term forecast of Ukrainian economy including shadow sector using causal simulation model

Vasylenko, Yuri V. - In: Mokslo darbai / Vilniaus Universitetas 99 (2020) 1, pp. 131-145

various types of legal and shadow economic activities and their interrelations. The model is used to forecast the whole (legal … Ukrainian authorities take an active position in the implementation of the developed forecast for the economic development of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012264616

Disclosing a random walk

Kremer, Ilan; Schreiber, Amnon; Skrzypacz, Andrzej - In: The journal of finance : the journal of the American … 79 (2024) 2, pp. 1123-1146

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014535469

Disclosing a Random Walk

Kremer, Ilan; Schreiber, Amnon; Skrzypacz, Andrzej - 2022

We examine a dynamic disclosure model in which the value of a firm follows a random walk. Every period, with some probability, the manager learns the value and decides whether to disclose it. The manager maximizes the market perception of the firm's value, which is based on disclosed...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306273