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Population ageing and future demand for old-age and disability pensions in Germany : a probabilistic approach
Vanella, Patrizio; Gonzalez, Miguel Rodriguez; Wilke, … - In: Comparative population studies : CPoS ; open acess … 47 (2022), pp. 87-118
Industrialised economies are experiencing a decline in mortality alongside low fertility rates - a situation that puts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186784
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The impact of population aging on the German statutory pension insurance : a probabilistic approach
Vanella, Patrizio; Gonzalez, Miguel Rodriguez; Wilke, … - 2021
decline in mortality alongside low fertility rates - a situation that puts social security systems under severe pressure. To …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599101
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Stochastic population forecast for Germany and its consequence for the German pension system
Härdle, Wolfgang; Mysickova, Alena - 2009
for Germany is derived through a stochastic population renewal process using forecasts of mortality, fertility and … indices of mortality and fertility rates. These models are then used in the simulation of future vital rates to obtain age …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003814452
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Forecasting the old-age dependency ratio to determine a sustainable pension age
Hyndman, Rob J.; Zeng, Yijun; Shang, Han Lin - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012610521
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Comovement among returns of the private Chilean pension system
Vallejos, Ronny; Gárate, Angelo; Gómez, Marcos - In: International review of applied economics 33 (2019) 2, pp. 228-240
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012182319
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A 'Semi-Historical' Time Series of UK Annuity Rates for Retirement Income Backtesting
Stocker, Alan - 2022
In this paper, a time series of UK annuity income rates (AR) based on historical interest rates but modern mortality rates (hence the term “semi-historical”) has been derived for both nominal and inflation-linked annuities. The errors associated with the calculated rates for nominal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236703
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Essays in empirical economics
Pischke, Jörn-Steffen - 1992
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000867631
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Clustering life trajectories : a new divisive hierarchical clustering algorithm for discrete-valued discrete time series
Dlugosz, Stephan - 2011
A new algorithm for clustering life course trajectories is presented and tested with large register data. Life courses are represented as sequences on a monthly timescale for the working-life with an age span from 16–65. A meaningful clustering result for this kind of data provides interesting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008901833
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Forecasting aggregate period birth rates : the time series properties of a microdynamic neoclassical model of fertility
Heckman, James J.; Walker, James R. - 1989
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000774916