R.G. Goodwin mentioned that "economists will be led, as natural scientists have been led, to seek in nonlinearities an explanation of the maintenance of oscillation" (Goodwin, Econometrica 19(1), 1951); following this reasoning, we studied business cycles as if they were generated by nonlinear...

Trade cycles are complex phenomena which oscillate because of economic downturns and expansions. Recurrence quantification analysis (RQA) detects state changes without necessitating any a priori mathematical assumption and highlights hidden features of the dynamics both at equilibrium and near...

In this chapter, we first explain what we mean by a signal, and then we describe some characteristics such as energy, frequency, phase, power spectrum, etc. We show how to analyse it by the means of spectral analysis and Fourier transform. Moreover, as the Fourier transform does not provide any...

Complex systems are characterized by deterministic laws (which often may be hidden) and randomness. A tool to analyse those systems is recurrence quantification analysis (RQA). RQA does not rely on any sort of assumption of stationarity and is not sensitive to singularities and transitions. It...

This chapter is dedicated to describe RQA applications in detecting spatio-temporal recurrent patterns of dynamical regimes of economic time series. Here we investigate the nature of economic dynamics and specifically of business cycles Orlando and Zimatore (Chaos, Solitons Fractals 110:82–94,...