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Learning from Lucas
Sargent, Thomas J. - In: Journal of economic methodology 29 (2022) 1, pp. 17-29
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013170084
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Forecast evaluation of Livingston data on inflation rates and inflation uncertainty
Cargill, Thomas F.; Meyer, Robert A. - In: Decision sciences : DS 16 (1985) 2, pp. 161-176
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001981071
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Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle
Dovern, Jonas; Jannsen, Nils - 2015
Using real-time data, we analyze how the systematic expectation errors of professional forecasters in 19 advanced economies depend on the state of the business cycle. Our results indicate that the general result that forecasters systematically overestimate output growth (across all countries)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486869
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The expectational effects of news in business cycles : evidence from forecast data
Miyamoto, Wataru; Nguyen, Thuy Lan - In: Journal of monetary economics 116 (2020), pp. 184-200
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012495170
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Expectations anchoring indexes for Brazil using Kalman filter : exploring signals of inflation anchoring in the long term
Oliveira, Fernando Nascimento de; Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza - In: International economics : a journal published by CEPII … 163 (2020), pp. 72-91
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012642566
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GARCH Models with Long Memory and Nonparametric Specifications
Conrad, Christian - 2006
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003402366
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Company expectations and new information : an application of Kalman filtering
Mayer, Colin; Mors, Matthias - 1985
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002440883
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Combined forecasts to improve Survey of Profession Forecasters predictions for quarterly inflation in the U.S.A.
Bratu, Mihaela; Gavurova, Beata; Smrčka, Luboš - In: Economic research 30 (2017) 1,1, pp. 789-805
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012224097
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Conditional term structure of inflation forecast uncertainty : the copula approach
Charemza, Wojciech; Díaz, Carlos; Makarova, Svetlana D. - In: Romanian journal of economic forecasting 22 (2019) 1, pp. 5-18
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012021948
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Long-memory inflation uncertainty : evidence from the term structure of interest rates
Backus, David; Zin, Stanley E. - 1993
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000857487