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Extensive empirical studies on the rationality of expectations as defined by Muth have revolved around tests on a … single series of forecast data, with results differing widely across studies. Rationality as an assessor characteristic has … long been of interest in economic theory and practice. However, as non-replicated events, single series tests do not …
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It is divided into four substantive parts, as follows: Part 1, Stochastic Models and their Forecasting, is an introduction to linear stationary models with finite numbers of parameters, in particular ARMA (mixed autoregressive-moving average) processes, their probabilistic and forecasting...
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research on decision theory which has marked developments in this field. His book Entscheidungskriterien bei Risiko, published …
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