rolling-windows based DYCI. Finally, we show that the TVP-VAR based index performs better in forecasting systemic events in …

behaviors in any given situation. This work presents several scalable frameworks for modeling and forecasting agent behavior …, particularly in the realm of international security dynamics. A probabilistic logic formalism for modeling and forecasting behavior … of this problem, forecasting methods are also introduced that operate directly on time series data, rather than an …

of multi-channel customer contact, organizational decision-makers often rely on robust but simplistic forecasting methods …. Although forecasting literature indicates that incorporating additional information into time series predictions adds value by … for call center arrivals' forecasting that is able to capture the dynamics of a time series and to include contextual …

series has been use for the forecasting the shock occurring in the economic data series. Objective and Subjective technique …