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We present a new procedure for detecting multiple additive outliers in GARCH(1,1) models at unknown dates. The outlier …
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forecasting. Economic forecasting is made difficult by economic complexity, which implies non-linearities (multiple interactions … the algorithm in forecasting GDP growth 3- to 12-months ahead is assessed through simulations in pseudo-real-time for six …
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This paper analyzes the evolution of the Lebanese GDP growth rate over the period 1970- 2019 by estimating two kinds of switching models: The Smooth Transition Autoregressive (STAR) model and the model of the Markov process. These models show, on the one hand, asymmetries in the evolution of GDP...
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multivariate outliers as well as influence points corresponding to Linear Discriminant Analysis. The locations of the corresponding …
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