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Nigeria. Forecasts were produced using ARIMA, ARIMA with structural variables, VAR and VEC models. The performance of the …
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survey expectations data in forecasting. …
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notably with the pandemic. In a VAR, allowing the errors to have a distribution with fatter tails than the Gaussian one equips … the model to better deal with the COVID-19 shock. A standard Gaussian VAR can still be used for producing conditional …
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Purpose: This study focuses on forecasting the price of the most important export crops of vegetables and fruits in … used instead. The GARCH (1,1) is found to be a better model in forecasting price of potatoes. Originality/value: The study … food in these economies, so forecasting agricultural prices is a substantial requirement for drawing up many economic plans …
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