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Viele aktive Entscheidungen bei der Anlage in Wertpapieren werden auf Basis von Informationen getroffen, die mit Hilfe empirischer Analysen historischer Finanzdaten gewonnen wurden. Leider sind die meisten Ergebnisse dieser Analysen sehr anfällig gegenüber einer Änderung der Zeitparameter,...
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We present a descriptive analysis of stylized facts for the German business cycle. We demonstrate that simple ad-hoc instructions for identifying univariate rules characterizing the German business cycle 1955-1994 lead to an error rate comparable to standard multivariate methods.
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We derive conditions for decomposition and collapsibility of graphical interaction models for multivariate time series. These properties enable us to perform stepwise model selection under certain restrictions. For illustration, we apply the results to a multivariate time series describing the...
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In critical care extremely high dimensional time series are generated by clinical information systems. This yields new perspectives of data recording and also causes a new challenge for statistical methodology. Recently graphical correlation models have been developed for analysing the partial...
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Thirteen Stylized Facts of the german economy are studied with different descriptive statistical methods. The results of this study are considered with respect to other results from Project B3 Multivariate Bestimmung und Untersuchung von Konjunkturzyklen.
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