-consistent forecasting on a large scale. While the CDFM has a simple structure, its forecasts outperform those of a wide range of competing …

This paper analyzes the forecasting performance of financial market data in comparison to other indicator groups to … evaluate the forecasting performance using a significance test. In addition, we investigate the stability of forecasting models …-term forecasting, especially for the US and longer forecast horizons. Nevertheless, the results indicate that the Great Recession was …

encouraging. In a pseudo out-of-sample exercise, our approach beats relevant benchmarks for forecasting CPI inflation and an …

Macedonia). The models are compared based on the values of ME, RMSE, MAE, MPE, MAPE, MASE and Theil's U for the out … policy is not implemented in the same way and the NNAR models are better for inflation forecasting. …

product, which in turn are used as an input in the forecasting process. Such forecasts reflect and incorporate the flow of … in a synchronous way. The forecasting power of the dynamic factor model is compared with those of several other models …

; (iv) newer generation Phillips curve models with several timevarying features are a promising avenue for forecasting …