following the Great Recession. …

Die spürbare Dämpfung der Konjunktur in den Vereinigten Staaten infolge der Immobilienmarktkrise dürfte bis ins Jahr … Konjunktur aufgrund der starken Entwicklung während des vergangenen Sommerhalbjahres wahrscheinlich weniger in Mitleidenschaft …

The Great Recession and the subsequent period of subdued GDP growth in most advanced economies have highlighted the … our model, the US economy is now back to a low-volatility environment after an interruption during the Great Recession … Recession and continued thereafter. These two extensions of the standard MS-DFM framework are supported by information criteria …

relatively mild recessions when the Great Recession of 2008/2009 is included in the sample. Adding a third state helps to clearly …. In a real-time exercise the model detects recessions timely. Combining the estimated factor and the recession … prediction of the timing of the Great Recession and its recovery one quarter in advance. …