Changing time series properties of US inflation and economic activity are analyzed within a class of extended Phillips … models that describe changing patterns in low and high frequencies and backward as well as forward inflation expectation … frequencies are carefully modeled. Modeling inflation expectations using survey data and adding level shifts and stochastic …

In general, central banks are concerned with keeping the inflation rate stable while also sustaining output close to an … efficient level. Under "inflation targeting", forecasts of the evolution of the general price level are an essential input for … policy decisions and these are usually released in quarterly "Inflation Reports". The costs and benefits of transparency in …

The aim of this paper is to investigate the performance of Phillips curve to forecast inflation in a high inflation … and a naive no change model. The data pertains to the quarterly inflation rate in Turkey for the period of 1987-2001. The … results show that inflation forecasts obtained from the Phillips curve are found to be more accurate than forecasts based on …

the Phillips curve over time. We consider different specifications and different measures for inflation. Furthermore, we ….S. headline inflation has remained empirically relevant over the years. …

Policymakers and researchers see inflation characterized by cyclical fluctuations driven by changes in resource … utilization and temporary shocks, around a trend influenced by inflation expectations. We study the in-sample inflation dynamics … and forecast inflation out-of-sample by analyzing a New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) in the frequency domain. In …

consistent with the official monetary policy. Second, we seek to shed light on the inflation process of these countries. To this … end, we carry out an estimation of an open economy Philips curve (PC). Our main finding is that inflation rates were not … monetary arrangements for price stability. The analysis of the conditional inflation variance obtained from GARCH estimation of …