Showing 1 - 10 of 1,267
regression.We obtain analogous formulas for seasonal random walks, extending some of the results of Maravall and Pierce (J Time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011458757
This paper summarizes and assesses several of the most popular methods to seasonally adjust weekly data. The industry standard approach, known as X-13ARIMA-SEATS, is suitable only for monthly or quarterly data. Given the increased availability and promise of non-traditional data at higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015115015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001353351
We propose a set of algorithms for testing the ergodicity of empirical time series, without reliance on a specific parametric framework. It is shown that the resulting test asymptotically obtains the correct size for stationary and nonstationary processes, and maximal power against non-ergodic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014184182
Semiparametric spectral methods seem particularly appropriate for the analysis of long financial time series, providing they are robust to a variety of forms of conditional heteroscedasticity, which is generally recognized as a dominant feature of financial returns. This paper analyses the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014204504
This paper presents a procedure for studying industrial performance and related issues such as changes in the wage structure. This procedure combines cluster analysis and discriminant analysis as a package, and applies this package to time series data. This enables us to organize industrial data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014156247
Real GDP and oil prices are decomposed into common stochastic trend and cycle processes using structural time series models. Potential real GDP is represented by the level of the trend component of real GDP. The potential rate of growth of real GDP is represented by the stochastic drift element...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014115680
Using structural time series models, Cuevas estimates common stochastic trends of real GDP and imports in Venezuela from 1974-2000. The real imports trend drifts upward at almost twice the rate of growth of GDP. This highlights the powerful structural tendency toward increasing imports in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014115682
Money demand in Venezuela is modeled using structural time series and error correction approaches, for the period 1993.1 to 2001.4. The preferred model features seasonal cointegration and was estimated following a structural time series approach. There are similarities in the long-run behavior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014115684
This paper introduces a general class of combined neural network-GARCH models suitable to financial time series analysis. We put special emphasis on designing a full model-building cycle for this class of models that includes all stages of econometric modelling (specification, estimation and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014058559