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regression.We obtain analogous formulas for seasonal random walks, extending some of the results of Maravall and Pierce (J Time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011458757
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010244914
A common problem with differences-in-differences (DD) estimates is the failure of the parallel-trend assumption. To cope with this, most authors include polynomial (linear, quadratic…) trends among the regressors, and estimate the treatment effect as a once-in-a-time trend shift. In practice...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012130569
This paper systematically studies the use of mixed-frequency data sets and suggests that the use of high frequency data in forecasting economic aggregates can improve forecast accuracy. The best way of using this information is to build a single model, for example, an ARMA model with missing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010503744
In the paper, we research on the presence of long-range dependence in returns and volatility of BUX, PX and WIG between years 1997 and 2009 with use of classical and modified rescaled range. Moving block bootstrap with pre-whitening and postblackening is used for the construction of confidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003958694
We propose two nonparametric transition density-based speciÞcation tests for continuous-time diffusion models. In contrast to marginal density as used in the literature, transition density can capture the full dynamics of a diffusion process, and in particular, can distinguish processes with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621413
In this paper we propose a test for a set of linear restrictions in a Vector Autoregressive Moving Average (VARMA) model. This test is based on the autoregressive metric, a notion of distance between two univariate ARMA models, M0 and M1, introduced by Piccolo in 1990. In particular, we show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010479050
Semiparametric spectral methods seem particularly appropriate for the analysis of long financial time series, providing they are robust to a variety of forms of conditional heteroscedasticity, which is generally recognized as a dominant feature of financial returns. This paper analyses the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014204504
Data transformations are commonly used across statistics to transform data distributions into distributions with properties that make them more user friendly. In time-series, stationarity is one of the most common assumptions that is violated because the mean and variance are time dependent....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913053
In an exchange economy with recursive preferences (Epstein and Zin, 1989), we propose a novel nonparametric generalized method of moment (GMM) series approach to estimate unknown policy functions which are recursively specified in a system of nonlinear conditional expectation models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012872282