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Time series analysis for financial market meltdowns
Kim, Young Shin; Račev, Svetlozar T.; Bianchi, Michele … - 2010
the failure of financial modeling. More specifically, current risk models have failed to properly assess the risks … over prevailing models for evaluating stock market risk exposure during distressed market periods. -- ARMA-GARCH model ; α …-stable distribution ; tempered stable distribution ; value-at-risk (VaR) ; average value-at-risk (AVaR) …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008653556
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Risk diversification : a study of persistence with a filtered correlation-network approach
Musmeci, Nicoló; Aste, Tomaso; Di Matteo, Tiziana - In: The journal of network theory in finance 1 (2015) 1, pp. 77-98
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374578
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Measuring Uncertainty
Jurado, Kyle - 2013
This paper exploits a data rich environment to provide direct econometric estimates of time-varying macroeconomic uncertainty, defined as the common volatility in the unforecastable component of a large number of economic indicators. Our estimates display significant independent variations from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075857
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Modeling and forecasting macroeconomic downside risk
Delle Monache, Davide; De Polis, Andrea; Petrella, Ivan - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012612441
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Measuring Us Uncertainty
Fountas, Stilianos; Kontana, Dimitra - 2021
In this paper, we introduce a new US uncertainty index which is more sensitive to consumer spending and therefore reflects households’ decisions. We find evidence that macroeconomic uncertainty shocks impose negative, statistically significant, and long-lasting effects on consumption, income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322199
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Real-time macroeconomic forecasting with a heteroscedastic inversion copula
Loiza-Maya, Ruben; Smith, Michael S. - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 38 (2020) 2, pp. 470-486
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012262488
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Risk assessment with wavelet feature engineering for high-frequency portfolio trading
Chen, Yi-Ting; Sun, Edward W.; Yu, Min-Teh - In: Computational economics 52 (2018) 2, pp. 653-684
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012053020
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Time-series momentum : a Monte-Carlo approach
Cheng, Enoch; Struck, Clemens - 2019
This paper develops a Monte-Carlo backtesting procedure for risk premia strategies and employs it to study Time … results are robust to using different time-series models, time periods, asset classes, and risk measures. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990919
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Long vs. short term asymmetry in volatility and the term structure of risk
Lönnbark, Carl - In: Finance research letters 23 (2017), pp. 202-209
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011808396