This paper investigates whether gold and silver can be considered safe havens by examining their long-run linkages with 22 stock price indices. More specifically, the stochastic properties of the differential between gold/silver prices and 22 stock indices are analysed applying fractional...

This paper investigates whether gold and silver can be considered safe havens by examining their long-run linkages with 22 stock price indices. More specifically, the stochastic properties of the differential between gold/silver prices and 22 stock indices are analysed applying fractional...

In this paper we analyze the convergence of interest rates in the European MonetarySystem (EMS) in a framework of changing persistence. This allows us to estimate the exact date of full convergence from the data. A change in persistence means that a time series switches from stationarity to...

This paper proposes a hybrid monetary model of the dollar-yen exchange rate that takes into account factors affecting the conventional monetary model’s building blocks. In particular, the hybrid monetary model is based on the incorporation of real stock prices to enhance money demand stability...

This paper documents the existence of large structural breaks in the unconditional correlations among the British pound, Norwegian krone, Swedish krona, Swiss franc, and euro exchange rates (against the US dollar) during the period 1994-2003. Using the framework of dynamic conditional...

This study makes a cross sectional case in investigating the validity, or otherwise, of the financedriven growth hypothesis in the ECOWAS countries using annual data from 1970 to 2008 for seven countries namely: Burkina Faso, Cote d'Ivoire, The Gambia, Ghana, Nigeria, Senegal and Togo. In...

The globalization of international financial markets has renewed interest in the measurement of capital mobility. Consumption-based tests such as the Euler equation test are commonly used. These tests, however, are derived under restrictive assumptions on consumer behavior. In this paper, we ask...

Adopting a MS-VAR model (Krolzig, 1997) and a recently developed regime-dependent impulse response analysis technique (Ehrmann, et al., 2003), this paper investigates the dynamic relationships among the stock markets of the US, Australia and New Zealand. Our results reveal the existence of two...

This paper examines the degree of interdependence between national stock market returns for 17 advanced economies and the United States for various sub-periods from January 1973 to February 2009. The examination is based on time-series techniques including both single equation (ordinary least...

Common predictors variables for the equity premium such as financial ratios exhibit high persistence and thus are borderline non-stationary. This article sheds light on the possibility of fractional differencing those ratios in order to attain stationarity yet preserving the long-run memory....