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Likelihood ratio tests of restrictions on common trends loading matrices in I(2) VAR Systems
Boswijk, Herman Peter; Paruolo, Paolo - In: Econometrics : open access journal 5 (2017) 3, pp. 1-17
cointegration parameters. Algorithms for (constrained) maximum likelihood estimation are presented, and asymptotic properties …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011710948
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Chapter 11 Forecasting with Trending Data
Elliott, Graham - 2006
models as well as examine the effects of erroneously assuming cointegration. It is shown that inconclusive theoretical … imposing cointegration can be more or less useful for different horizons. The problem of forecasting variables with trending …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023695
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Chapter 6 Forecasting with VARMA Models
Lütkepohl, Helmut - 2006
Vector autoregressive moving-average (VARMA) processes are suitable models for producing linear forecasts of sets of time series variables. They provide parsimonious representations of linear data generation processes. The setup for these processes in the presence of stationary and cointegrated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023700
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A conversation with Søren Johansen
Johansen, Søren (interviewee); Mosconi, Rocco (interviewer) - In: Econometrics : open access journal 10 (2022) 2, pp. 1-16
fractional cointegration types; survival analysis; statistical modelling; likelihood; econometric methodology; the teaching and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013355167
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A conversation with Katarina Juselius
Jusélius, Katarina (interviewee);  … - In: Econometrics : open access journal 10 (2022) 2, pp. 1-21
This article was prepared for the Special Issue "Celebrated Econometricians: Katarina Juselius and Søren Johansen" of Econometrics. It is based on material recorded on 30-31 October 2018 in Copenhagen. It explores Katarina Juselius’ research, and discusses inter alia the following issues:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013355175
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GDP solera : the ideal vintage mix
Almuzara, Martín; Amengual, Dante; Fiorentini, Gabriele; … - 2022
cointegration between the different measures and taking their monthly release calendar seriously. We also combine all existing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013336360
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Engle & Granger cointegration test for gdp and public consumption in the Republic of North Macedonia
Ivanovski, Zoran; Ivanovska, Nadica; Korunovska, Vesna - In: UTMS journal of economics / University of Tourism and … 13 (2022) 2, pp. 214-220
In this paper, we test cointegration between GDP and Public consumption of the Republic of North Macedonia, for … quarterly data of twenty years' time series (2000Q1-2019Q4). We present results of two methods for cointegration test: first …, residual regression test table and second, Engle & Granger cointegration test and Philips Ouliaris test. Both methods provides …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013489691
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The impact of foreign direct investment on Namibia’s economic growth : a time series investigation
Sunde, Tafirenyika - In: Cogent economics & finance 11 (2023) 1, pp. 1-15
2020 using the ARDL cointegration method. The results reveal that FDI, the interactive variable of FDI and trade openness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500822
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Short patches of outliers, ARCH and volatility modeling
Franses, Philip Hans; Dijk, Dick van; Lucas, André - 1998
In this paper we test for (Generalized) AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity [(G)ARCH] in daily data on 22 exchange rates and 13 stock market indices using the standard Lagrange Multiplier [LM] test for GARCH and a LM test that is resistant to patches of additive outliers. The data span...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011284080
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Are the intraday effects of central bank intervention on exchange rate spreads asymmetric and state dependent?
Fatum, Rasmus; Pedersen, Jesper; Sørensen, Peter Norman - 2010
This paper investigates the intraday effects of unannounced foreign exchange intervention on bid-ask exchange rate spreads using official intraday intervention data provided by the Danish central bank. Our starting point is a simple theoretical model of the bid-ask spread which we use to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009626604