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with time-varying loading coefficients and stochastic volatility, which allows for capturing changes in the pricing …
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This paper studies predictability of realized volatility of U.S. Treasury futures using high-frequency data for 2-year … to generate systemic under-predictions of future realized volatility. …
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volatility of the Treasury bill market. We demonstrate that differently shaped yield curves can result given different … combinations of volatility and expectations about future spot rates. Moreover, adjusting the forward rate for the volatility …
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