Showing 1 - 10 of 2,239
This paper develops a method to improve the estimation of jump variation using high frequency data with the existence of market microstructure noises. Accurate estimation of jump variation is in high demand, as it is an important component of volatility in finance for portfolio allocation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568279
In this paper, we analyze new possibilities in predicting daily ranges, i.e. differences between daily high and low prices. We empirically assess efficiency gains in volatility estimation when using range-based estimators as opposed to simple daily ranges and explore the use of these more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010461231
squared return prediction errors gives an adequate approximation of the unobserved realised conditional variance for both the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012127861
Ding, Granger and Engle (1993) and Ding and Granger (1996). Our prediction experiments use high frequency price returns … variations help less in the prediction of future realized volatility, than past "small" jump power variations. Additionally, we …, are strongly correlated with future volatility, and that past downside jump variations matter in prediction. Finally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009771770
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720755
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009722696
This paper examines exchange-rate volatility with GARCH models using monthly exchange-rate return series from 1985:1 to 2011:7 for Naira/US dollar return and from 2004:1 to 2011:7 for Naira/British Pounds and Naira/Euro returns. The study compare estimates of variants of GARCH models with break...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476095
In this paper, we estimate, model and forecast Realized Range Volatility, a realized measure and estimator of the quadratic variation of financial prices. This quantity was early introduced in the literature and it is based on the high-low range observed at high frequency during the day. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076452
We simulate a simplified version of the price process including bubbles and crashes proposed in Kreuser and Sornette (2018). The price process is defined as a geometric random walk combined with jumps modelled by separate, discrete distributions associated with positive (and negative) bubbles....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836362
Despite their effectiveness, linear models for realized variance neglect measurement errors on integrated variance and exhibit several forms of misspecification due to the inherent nonlinear dynamics of volatility. We propose new extensions of the popular approximate long-memory HAR model apt to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900397