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This paper considers issues related to identification, inference, and computation in linearized dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. We first provide a necessary and sufficient condition for the local identification of the structural parameters based on the (first and) second...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756473
This paper estimates the stock market and its price dynamics in terms of the multifractional Brownian motion. In our analysis, we use the financial dataset of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) time series from March 2009 to June 2015. First, we briefly introduce the definitions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840307
In high dimensional data, relevant interactions can be difficult to identify due to the extremely large number of possible interactions among variables. Conventional methods use a screening stage to vastly reduce the dimension of the variable space before examining the interaction effect....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045217
It is well-known that outliers exist in the type of multivariate data used by financial practitioners for portfolio construction and risk management. Typically, outliers are addressed prior to model fitting by applying some combination of trimming and/or Winsorization to each individual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946531
The aim of this paper is to apply the methods of Symbolic Time Series Analysis (STSA) to series of inflation from a group of Latin-American economies. Starting with a partition of two inflation regimes, we use data symbolization for identifying temporal patterns. Afterwards the statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014062841
This chapter presents a unified set of estimation methods for fitting a rich array of models describing dynamic relationships within a longitudinal data setting. The discussion surveys approaches for characterizing the micro dynamics of continuous dependent variables both over time and across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024953
In this paper, we prove the validity of an Edgeworth expansion to the distribution of the Whittle maximum likelihood estimator for stationary long-memory Gaussian models with unknown parameter theta in Theta subset R^{d_theta) . The error of the (s-2)-order expansion is shown to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014116712
The study aims at simulating and forecasting a company's stock returns and prices by a fundamentalist analysis process based on a Vector Error Correction with Exogenous Variables (VECX) econometric model. To achieve this, we selected relevant fundamentalist indicators and specified a model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129177
Three models are presented: AR (autoregressive), MA (moving average) and ARMA (autoregressive moving average) are common models used in time series forecasting. These three models are the various definition of each element of the General Linear Model: Y = a + b + c. For the study of linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076067
This paper presents a short survey on limit theorems for certain functionals of semimartingales, which are observed at high frequency. Our aim is to explain the main ideas of the theory to a broader audience. We introduce the concept of stable convergence, which is crucial for our purpose. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155852