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In the present article, we deal with a generalization of the logistic function. Starting from the Riccati differential equation with constant coefficients, we find its analytical form and describe basic properties. Then we use the generalized logistic function for modeling some economic phenomena.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012490239
1. Introduction -- 2. Architecture of grey forecasting models -- 3. Mechanism and reduction of grey forecasting models -- 4. Continuous-time grey endogenous forecasting models -- 5. Discrete-time grey endogenous forecasting models -- 6. Continuous-time grey exogenous forecasting models -- 7....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015051047
In this paper we address the issue of assessing and communicating the joint probabilities implied by density forecasts from multivariate time series models. We focus our attention in three areas. First, we investigate a new method of producing fan charts that better communicates the uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989353
We analyze asymmetries of the business cycle in the Croatian economy, using various annualized growth rate variables for a period of eighteen years (1992-2010), de-trended by Hodrick-Prescott filter, and following the Harding and Pagan procedure in determination of its turning points. The time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085315
This study documents the stylized facts about the business cycles in Turkey using quarterly data between 1987 and 2009. In particular, we document the business cycle turning points and average duration of cycles for Turkey, as well as the optimal smoothing parameter for Hodrick-Prescott (HP)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009407248
This note critically evaluates the New Classical Macroeconomics from a Marshallian perspective. Revisiting the famous Keynes-Tinbergen controversy, it is argued that Keynes' criticism comprises the "Lucas critique", and that it is misleading to label this a critique of Keynesian economics. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010439367
This study tries to ascertain the behaviour of some major macroeconomic factors that would drive Ghana’s economic growth using Johansen approach to cointegration. The study uses quarterly data from 1980:Q1 to 2013:Q4. The data were first analyzed using the Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011620128
Do other peoples' incomes reduce the happiness which people in advanced countries experience from any given income? And does this help to explain why in the U.S., Germany and some other advanced countries, happiness has been constant for many decades? The answer to both questions is "Yes". We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011635703
What are the long-run effects of permanent changes to the economy? We characterize long-run comparative statics for a broad class of models in terms of expenditure shares, substitution elasticities, and capital supply elasticities. Our key insight is that long-run analysis can be performed using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015326497
This paper studies the causes of movements in inflation and output in Switzerland over 160 years between 1855 and 2015. Aggregate supply and demand shocks are identified in a structural VAR and their evolution and effect on prices and output is discussed. Shocks to the Swiss economy have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013175578