This paper considers a simple Continuous Beliefs System (CBS) toinvestigate the effects on price dynamics of several behavioralassumptions: (i) herd behaviour; (ii) a-synchronous updating ofbeliefs; and (iii) heterogeneity in time horizons (memory) amongagents. The recently introduced concept of...

We model an individual who wants to learn about a state of the world. The individual has a prior belief, and has data which consists of multiple forecasts about the state of the world. Our key assumption is that the decision maker identifies explanations that could have generated this data and...

The purpose of this paper is to examine the usefulness of using a net discount rate (NDR) based on historical data to estimate the present value of the cost of future medical care goods and/or services. Such goods and services often comprise the largest part of the typical life-care plan....

Travelers have to handle with various risks and uncertainties by themselves or they can ask a travel agent to act on their behalf in order to minimize and/or to solve them. We believe that the new nature of the activities that could be offered by the travel agencies would rather be a risk...