In the present paper, we propose a new approach to investigate the logistic function, which is commonly used in mathematical models in economics and management. The approach is based on indicating in a given time series, having a logistic trend, some characteristic points corresponding to zeroes...

Over recent years, several nonlinear time series models have been proposed in the literature. One model that has found a large number of successful applications is the threshold autoregressive model (TAR). The TAR model is a piecewise linear process whose central idea is to change the parameters...

We introduce a smooth transition Generalized Pareto (GP) regression model to study the link between extreme losses and the economic context. The advantage of our approach consists in specifying a time-varying dependence structure between financial factors and the severity distribution of the...