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Measuring uncertainty and its effects in a small open economy
Cabello, Miguel; Nivin, Rafael - 2022
model and a stochastic volatility factor model, it is possible to estimate reliable uncertainty measures and describe their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013540621
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Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility
Marcellino, Massimiliano; Porqueddu, Mario; Venditti, … - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 34 (2016) 1, pp. 118-127
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691233
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Jump factor models in large cross‐sections
Li, Jia; Todorov, Viktor; Tauchen, George Eugene - In: Quantitative economics : QE ; journal of the … 10 (2019) 2, pp. 419-456
the times when the risk factors are detected to have a jump. The test statistic is a cross‐sectional average of a measure … assessing the magnitude of firm‐specific risk in asset prices at the factor jump events. Empirical application to S&P 100 stocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012042424
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Leverage, asymmetry, and heavy tails in the high-dimensional factor stochastic volatility model
Li, Mengheng; Scharth, Marcel - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 40 (2022) 1, pp. 285-301
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012804111
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Nowcasting GDP with a pool of factor models and a fast estimation algorithm
Eraslan, Sercan; Schröder, Maximilian - In: International journal of forecasting 39 (2023) 3, pp. 1460-1476
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465295
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Macroeconomic uncertainty and vector autoregressions
Forni, Mario; Gambetti, Luca; Sala, Luca - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012417673
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Time-varying effects of financial uncertainty shocks on macroeconomic fluctuations in Peru
Alvarado, Mauricio; Rodriguez, Gabriel - 2024 - This version: November 27, 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014526328
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What has caused global business cycle decoupling : smaller shocks or reduced sensitivity?
Berger, Tino; Richter, Julia - 2017
According to a growing body of empirical literature, global shocks have become less important for business cycles in industrialized countries and emerging market economies since the mid-1980s. In this paper, we analyze the question of what might have caused a decoupling from the global business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584095
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Modeling time-variation over the business cycle (1960-2017) : an international perspective
Martínez-García, Enrique - In: Studies in nonlinear dynamics and econometrics : SNDE ; … 22 (2018) 5, pp. 1-25
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011966119
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The effect of the great moderation on the US business cycle in a time-varying multivariate trend-cycle model
Creal, Drew; Koopman, Siem Jan; Zivot, Eric - 2008
accounts for time variation in macroeconomic volatility, known as the great moderation. In particular, we consider an … volatility processes and mixture distributions for the irregular components and the common cycle disturbances enable us to … that time-varying volatility is only present in the a selection of idiosyncratic components while the coefficients driving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011376640