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Recessions and expansions are often caused or reinforced by developments in private consumption - the largest component of aggregate demand - which, as a result, varies over the business cycle. As such, an accurate measurement of the cyclical component of consumption and an understanding of its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014380708
We investigate the importance of aggregate and consumer-specific or idiosyncratic labour income risk for aggregate … consumption changes in the US over the period 1952-2001. Theoretically, the effect of labour income risk on consumption changes is … decomposed into an aggregate and into an idiosyncratic part. Empirically, aggregate risk is modelled through a GARCH process on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372981
In this paper we analyse the importance of precautionary saving in Italy. In contrast to previous studies, we focus on two contemporaneous sources of uncertainty, income and health expenditures, to explain the presence of precautionary saving. The major changes occurred in public health care...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014061178
sizable risk premia in a long-run risk model properly modifi ed to account for the diff erent layers of persistence. A low … frequency component correlated with long-run productivity growth commands a premium of up to 2% per year when the risk aversion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094118
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720736
calculated from the estimation of a log-linear version of the household intertemporal budget constraint as a cointegrating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011844588
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003385291
state. It is shown that the steady state of the PtDR is jointly influenced by consumption risk, risking sharing, and the … demographic structure. Among those consumption risk is the dominating factor in shaping the variations in the steady state of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010340530
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