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This paper modelled the volatility persistence and asymmetry of naira-dollar exchange rate in interbank and Bureau de … GARCH model, appears to be better than the asymmetric ones in dealing with exchange rate volatility in the interbank market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011922750
economic theory. In order to detect this pattern, the "gestalt" of exchange rate fluctuations is carefully explored. It is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135726
(unit roots in levels together with fat tails in returns and volatility clustering). Our time series analysis of simulated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431839
Heteroscedasticity) volatility dynamics. DCS models are robust to extreme observations, whereas standard financial time series models are … observations, stochastic seasonality with dynamic amplitude, and volatility dynamics. These seasonality dynamics of the GTQ/USD are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033379
We estimate a multivariate unobserved components-stochastic volatility model to explain the dynamics of a panel of six …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326550
obtained from discrete time models by comparing them with high-frequency ex post estimates (e.g. realised volatility) based on … continuous time theory. In explanatory financial variability modelling this raises several methodological and practical issues … illustration provides an example of where an explanatory model outperforms realised volatility ex post. -- Financial variability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003829997
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991383
We estimate a multivariate unobserved components stochastic volatility model to explain the dynamics of a panel of six …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012118184
Long-range dependency of the volatility of exchange-rate time series plays a crucial role in the evaluation of exchange … analysis. Findings from our analysis indicate that long-range dependence in volatility is observed and it is persistent across … horizons. However, this long-range dependence in volatility is most prominent at the horizon longer than daily. Policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293280
The random walk is often used to model exchange rates. According to the Lucas critique, however, policy shifts may lead to breaks in the trend of exchange rates and hence to long swings. We use a Markov regime-switching model to allow for such swings and we reject the random walk in favor of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014192014