Showing 1 - 10 of 14,256
A micro-scale model is proposed for the evolution of a limit order book in modern high-frequency trading applications. Within this model, order flows are described by doubly stochastic Poisson processes (also called Cox processes) taking account of the stochastic character of the intensities of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060874
We develop spectral volume models to systematically estimate, explain, and exploit the high-frequency periodicity in intraday trading activities using Fourier analysis. The framework consistently recovers periodicities at specific frequencies in three steps, despite their low signal-to-noise...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239413
Common statistical measures of bond risk premia are volatile and countercyclical. This paper uses survey data on … interest rate forecasts to construct subjective bond risk premia. Subjective premia are less volatile and not very cyclical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158770
The CDS-bond basis quantifies the difference in risk premia between credit default swap (CDS) and bond markets. It is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015408438
I analyze time series momentum along the Treasury term structure. Past bond returns predict future returns both due to … autocorrelation in bond risk premia and because unexpected bond return shocks increase the premium. Yield curve momentum is primarily … due to autocorrelation in yield changes rather than autocorrelation in bond carry and can largely be captured using a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012665285
Yield curve models within the Nelson and Siegel (hereafter NS) class have proven very popular in finance and macrofinance, but they lack a theoretical foundation. In this article, I show how the Level, Slope, and Curvature components common to all NS models arise explicitly from low-order Taylor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120885
Starting from the discrete-time a ne term structure model by Dai, Le & Singleton (2006), this paper proposes a Radon-Nikodym derivative which implies that factors follow a mixture distribution under the physical measure. The model thus maintains attractive features of an affine relation between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147078
theory assumes that return shocks can be caused by changes in conditional volatility through a time-varying risk premium. On …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128856
We propose a new methodology for abnormal return detection and correction, and evaluate the economic impacts of outliers on asset allocations with higher-order moments (Cf. Jurczenko et al., 2008). Indeed, extreme returns and outliers greatly affect empirical higher-order moment estimations (Cf....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159253
Convertible bonds are an important segment of the corporate bond market, however, as hybrid instruments, convertible … variables. Moreover, the most challenging problem in convertible bond valuation is the underlying stock return process modeling … real-world convertible bond specifications compared with previous model-driven models. The experiments on the Chinese …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013272634