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We re-examine the widely held belief that analysts' earnings per share (EPS) forecasts are superior to random walk (RW) time-series forecasts. We investigate whether analysts' annual EPS forecasts are superior, and if so, under what conditions. Simple RW EPS forecasts are more accurate than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116514
Prior research finds that taxable income is a more useful performance metric when book income quality is low (i.e., the … “supplemental information role of taxable income”). We predict and find that taxable income's supplemental information role for … future earnings growth increases over time as book income quality declines over time. This time-series increase in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904690
Asymmetric persistence of accounting income is often tested in a regression of changes in earnings on lagged changes in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003940082
Asymmetric persistence of accounting income is often tested in a regression of changes in earnings on lagged changes in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009660971
We examine time-series variations in accounting conservatism in the Japanese market. Previous studies have found that the Japanese market has low accounting conservatism. Over the last 30 years, however, the Japanese market has experienced significant institutional changes. Thus, we examine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117997
Asymmetric persistence of accounting income is often tested in a regression of changes in earnings on lagged changes in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147269
This analysis examines the time-series properties of quarterly aggregate earnings. We find that when aggregated, quarterly earnings can be fairly well described as following a simple random walk (RW) process. That is, the best historical time-series predictor for quarterly aggregated earnings is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838165
Earnings management is a globally used tool for long-term profitable enterprises and for the apparatus of reduction of bankruptcy risk in developed countries. This phenomenon belongs to the integral and fundamental part of their business finance. However, this has still been lax in emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292909