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It is an undisputed fact that weather risk increases over time due to climate change. However, qualification of this statement with regard to the type of weather risk and geographical location is needed. We investigate the application of novel statistical tools for assessing changes in weather...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009379509
It is an undisputed fact that weather risk increases over time due to climate change. However, qualification of this statement with regard to the type of weather risk and geographical location is needed. We investigate the application of novel statistical tools for assessing changes in weather...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014123486
This paper revisits the fractional cointegrating relationship between ex-ante implied volatility and ex-post realized … volatility. We argue that the concept of corridor implied volatility (CIV) should be used instead of the popular model …-free option-implied volatility (MFIV) when assessing the fractional cointegrating relation as the latter may introduce bias to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090381
This paper revisits the fractional co-integrating relationship between ex-ante implied volatility and ex-post realized … volatility. Previous studies on stock index options have found biases and inefficiencies in implied volatility as a forecast of … future volatility. It is argued that the concept of corridor implied volatility (CIV) should be used instead of the popular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011280711
-range dependencies are present only in the intraday volatility but not in the intraday returns. Finally, the robustness of these findings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012312096
We consider the problem of estimating the conditional quantile of a time series fYtg at time t given covariates Xt, where Xt can ei- ther exogenous variables or lagged variables of Yt . The conditional quantile is estimated by inverting a kernel estimate of the conditional distribution function,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010238365
The fuzzy transform (F-transform), introduced by I. Perfilieva, is a powerful tool for the construction of fuzzy approximation models; it is based on generalized fuzzy partitions and it is obtained by minimizing a quadratic (L₂-norm) functional. In this paper we describe an analogous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906853
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013494421
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013332682
, as the distribution and stylized facts can determine if volatility is present, resulting in financial risk and contagion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013471223