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Structural shocks and the comovements between output and interest rates
Mertens, Elmar - 2005
Stylized facts on U.S. output and interest rates have so far proved hard to match with simple DSGE models. I estimate covariances between output, nominal and real interest rate conditional on structural shocks, since such evidence has largely been lacking in previous discussions of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011397252
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The time-varying effects of permanent and transistory shocks to real output
Keating, John William; Valcarcel, Victor J. - In: Macroeconomic dynamics 19 (2015) 3, pp. 477-507
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011308634
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What do we learn from Blanchard and Quah decompositions of output if aggregate demand may not be long-run neutral?
Keating, John William - In: Journal of macroeconomics 38 (2013) 2, pp. 203-217
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010372017
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Are the macroeconomic effects of oil price shock symmetric? : a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive approach
An, Lian; Jin, Xiaoze; Ren, Xiaomei - In: Energy economics 45 (2014), pp. 217-228
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010505399
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Demand and supply shocks in Italy : an application to industrial output
Gavosto, Andrea; Pellegrini, Guido - In: European economic review : EER 43 (1999) 9, pp. 1679-1703
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001417826
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The effects of shock in strikes on non-agriculture employment, output, and inflation in South Africa : a structural analysis of Bayesian VAR models
Ngundu, Marvellous; Mphinyana-Chauke, Shonisani; … - In: Cogent economics & finance 11 (2023) 2, pp. 1-10
unemployment in South Africa. Precisely, the findings show that a strikes shock has a positive transient impact on non-agriculture … 1982-2018. We find empirical support for a strikes shock's transitory negative impact on the country's output growth. In … non-agriculture employment. These findings reveal that strikers resume work with unfulfilled wage increase demands. Hence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014503139
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Forecasting GDP growth using mixed-frequency models with switching regimes
Barsoum, Fady; Stankiewicz, Sandra - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 1, pp. 33-50
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327124
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Business Cycle Dating and Forecasting with Real-Time Swiss GDP Data
Glocker, Christian - 2019
We develop a small-scale dynamic factor model for the Swiss economy allowing for non-linearities by means of a two-state Markov-chain. The selection of an appropriate set of indicators utilizes a combinatorial algorithm. The model's forecasting performance is as good as that of peers with richer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892535
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Reconciled estimates of monthly GDP in the US
Koop, Gary; McIntyre, Stuart; Mitchell, James; Poon, Aubrey - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822269
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Business cycle dating and forecasting with real-time Swiss GDP data
Glocker, Christian; Wegmueller, Philipp - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 58 (2020) 1, pp. 73-105
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216360