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We derive a nonparametric test for constant (continuous) beta over a fixed interval of time. Continuous beta is defined as the ratio of the continuous covariation between an asset and observable risk factor (e.g., the market return) and the continuous variation of the latter. Our test is based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010253467
A two-step estimation method of stochastic volatility models is proposed. In the first step, we nonparametrically … estimate the (unobserved) instantaneous volatility process. In the second step, standard estimation methods for fully observed … estimation strategy is applicable to both parametric and nonparametric stochastic volatility models, and can handle both jumps …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010487528
We provide a new framework for modeling trends and periodic patterns in high-frequency financial data. Seeking adaptivity to ever-changing market conditions, we enlarge the Fourier flexible form into a richer functional class: both our smooth trend and the seasonality are non-parametrically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411344
A two-step estimation method of stochastic volatility models is proposed: In the first step, we estimate the …, standard estimation methods for fully observed diffusion processes are employed, but with the filtered volatility process … replacing the latent process. Our estimation strategy is applicable to both parametric and nonparametric stochastic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136828
This paper introduces a new specification for the heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model for the realized volatility of S&P500 index returns. In this new model, the coefficients of the HAR are allowed to be time-varying with unknown functional forms. We propose a local linear method for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076694
This paper develops a method to improve the estimation of jump variation using high frequency data with the existence … of market microstructure noises. Accurate estimation of jump variation is in high demand, as it is an important component …-step procedure with detection and estimation. In Step 1, we detect the jump locations by performing wavelet transformation on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568279
We propose to forecast the Value-at-Risk of bivariate portfolios using copulas which are calibrated on the basis of nonparametric sample estimates of the coefficient of lower tail dependence. We compare our proposed method to a conventional copula-GARCH model where the parameter of a Clayton...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029418
We propose an estimation strategy that accounts for two major problems raised in the empirical literature testing for … problems. Second, we apply nonlinear-nonstationary parametric and non-parametric estimation techniques to estimate the pairwise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011447524
This chapter deals with nonparametric estimation of the risk neutral density. We present three different approaches … conditional on the physical measure of the underlying asset. Via direct series type estimation of the pricing kernel we can derive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003953034
We introduce a statistical test for simultaneous jumps in the price of a financial asset and its volatility process. The proposed test is based on high-frequency tick-data and is robust to market microstructure frictions. To localize volatility jumps, we design and analyze a nonparametric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010384595